Saudi Arabian Oil Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-33.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-3.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
28.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $41.10 | 51.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $20.95 | -22.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $15.16 | -44.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $15.09 | -44.5% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $33.36 | 22.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $26.13 | -3.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $36.60 | 34.7% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, 2222.SR appears fairly valued at the current price of $27.18. The base case fair value of $26.13 implies 3.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.