MediaTek Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-86.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-78.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-66.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $239.90 | -94.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $1574.25 | -64.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1597.17 | -63.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $596.34 | -86.4% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $932.41 | -78.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $1359.64 | -69.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $574.67 | -86.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, 2454.TW appears overvalued at the current price of $4390.00. The base case fair value of $932.41 implies 78.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.