Japan Tobacco Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-22.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-12.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-2.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $8301.31 | 34.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $5665.89 | -8.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $4795.47 | -22.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $4004.39 | -35.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $6369.32 | 3.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $4737.21 | -23.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $5390.69 | -12.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, 2914.T appears overvalued at the current price of $6177.00. The base case fair value of $5390.69 implies 12.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.