Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-54.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-50.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-43.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3392.39 | -52.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $4447.84 | -38.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $2756.48 | -61.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $3577.79 | -50.2% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $4815.71 | -33.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $3624.08 | -49.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $3168.76 | -55.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, 4063.T appears overvalued at the current price of $7188.00. The base case fair value of $3577.79 implies 50.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.