Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-3.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
5.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
27.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3003.67 | -72.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $15806.53 | 47.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $17118.55 | 59.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $9481.69 | -11.7% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $11289.85 | 5.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $11604.20 | 8.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $11154.87 | 3.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, 4578.T appears fairly valued at the current price of $10735.00. The base case fair value of $11289.85 implies 5.2% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.