Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-135.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-34.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-16.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-7695.96 | -432.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $1565.26 | -32.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1476.89 | -36.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $3023.98 | 30.5% | High (80%) |
Based on 4 out of 8 methods, 6178.T appears overvalued at the current price of $2318.00. The base case fair value of $1521.07 implies 34.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.