Advantest Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-88.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-72.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-61.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $2525.34 | -90.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $12867.20 | -52.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $24749.55 | -9.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $3531.07 | -87.1% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $7395.37 | -72.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $8199.29 | -70.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $2779.99 | -89.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, 6857.T appears overvalued at the current price of $27325.00. The base case fair value of $7395.37 implies 72.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.