Keyence Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-66.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-63.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-60.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $26551.43 | -63.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $46014.59 | -36.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $23891.61 | -67.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $24314.27 | -66.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $26924.36 | -62.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $31182.85 | -57.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $19943.69 | -72.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, 6861.T appears overvalued at the current price of $72620.00. The base case fair value of $26551.43 implies 63.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.