HOYA Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-66.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-57.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-44.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4861.90 | -81.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $16492.06 | -37.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $19759.73 | -25.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $7013.65 | -73.5% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $11159.23 | -57.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $12766.12 | -51.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $10717.73 | -59.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, 7741.T appears overvalued at the current price of $26420.00. The base case fair value of $11159.23 implies 57.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.