PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk
Bear Case (25th pct.)
118.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
142.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
204.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3522.53 | -43.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $14909.64 | 141.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $12039.35 | 95.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $14978.56 | 142.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $20112.54 | 225.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $34511.47 | 458.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $17490.79 | 183.3% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AALI.JK appears undervalued at the current price of $6175.00. The base case fair value of $14978.56 implies 142.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.