Apple Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-98.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-96.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-96.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $63.92 | -98.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $207.31 | -95.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $153.87 | -96.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $30.30 | -99.4% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $96.62 | -98.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $172.93 | -96.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $154.49 | -96.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AAPL.MX appears overvalued at the current price of $5020.00. The base case fair value of $153.87 implies 96.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.