Apple Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-83.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-67.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-55.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $5.56 | -86.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $22.81 | -44.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $3.35 | -91.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $10.74 | -73.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $19.20 | -53.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $15.84 | -61.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, AAPL.NE appears overvalued at the current price of $41.20. The base case fair value of $13.29 implies 67.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.