Apple Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-73.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-49.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-41.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $57.29 | -80.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $202.83 | -29.5% | Medium (25%) |
| PEG-Based Value | $146.72 | -49.0% | Low (10%) |
| Graham Number | $30.30 | -89.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $96.62 | -66.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $172.83 | -39.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $164.36 | -42.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AAPL appears overvalued at the current price of $287.51. The base case fair value of $146.72 implies 49.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.