Apple Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-76.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-46.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-39.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $51.72 | -83.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $221.92 | -28.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $182.14 | -41.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $31.13 | -89.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $96.62 | -68.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $191.97 | -38.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $165.28 | -46.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AAPL appears overvalued at the current price of $309.38. The base case fair value of $165.28 implies 46.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.