Apple Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-74.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-48.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-43.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $58.32 | -80.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $207.25 | -30.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $153.87 | -48.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $30.30 | -89.8% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $96.62 | -67.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $172.83 | -42.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $166.20 | -44.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, AAPL appears overvalued at the current price of $298.01. The base case fair value of $153.87 implies 48.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.