Allegiant Travel Company
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-127.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-46.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
17.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-217.03 | -378.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $26.13 | -66.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $54.63 | -30.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $42.09 | -46.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $181.13 | 132.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $129.29 | 65.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-69.27 | -188.7% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ALGT appears fairly valued at the current price of $78.07. The base case fair value of $42.09 implies 46.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.