Ancara Logistics Indonesia Tbk
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-77.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-69.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-65.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $96.92 | -88.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $459.54 | -45.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $319.09 | -61.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $265.36 | -68.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $256.73 | -69.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $241.98 | -71.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $136.68 | -83.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ALII.JK appears overvalued at the current price of $835.00. The base case fair value of $256.73 implies 69.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.