PT. Arkora Hydro Tbk
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-97.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-94.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-93.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $660.10 | -87.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $312.44 | -94.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $337.45 | -93.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $285.66 | -94.7% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $122.91 | -97.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-24.74 | -100.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ARKO.JK appears overvalued at the current price of $5375.00. The base case fair value of $299.05 implies 94.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.