Arrow Electronics, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-48.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-13.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
21.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-37.91 | -116.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $350.45 | 54.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $533.22 | 135.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $197.16 | -13.1% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $200.97 | -11.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $141.74 | -37.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $90.63 | -60.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, ARW appears fairly valued at the current price of $226.78. The base case fair value of $197.16 implies 13.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.