Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
ASML HOLDING NV
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-80.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-74.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-55.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $351.49 | -78.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $757.95 | -53.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1076.14 | -34.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $196.85 | -88.0% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $413.96 | -74.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $698.34 | -57.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $281.14 | -82.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, ASML appears overvalued at the current price of $1643.94. The base case fair value of $413.96 implies 74.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.