BHP Group Limited
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-30.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
20.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
72.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $25.79 | -38.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $76.05 | 81.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $69.10 | 64.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $29.69 | -29.3% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $50.79 | 20.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $81.16 | 93.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $28.50 | -32.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BHPLF appears fairly valued at the current price of $42.00. The base case fair value of $50.79 implies 20.9% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.