BHP Group Limited
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-36.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
10.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
63.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $25.79 | -43.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $75.71 | 64.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $74.69 | 62.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $29.69 | -35.3% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $50.79 | 10.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $81.16 | 76.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $28.50 | -37.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, BHPLF appears fairly valued at the current price of $45.91. The base case fair value of $50.79 implies 10.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.