BP p.l.c.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-8.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
19.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
85.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $10.42 | 44.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $6.90 | -4.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $6.49 | -10.3% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $19.56 | 170.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $14.38 | 98.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $4.51 | -37.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, BPAQF appears fairly valued at the current price of $7.23. The base case fair value of $8.66 implies 19.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.