Cameco Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-84.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-77.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-66.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4.73 | -95.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $19.16 | -81.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $269.29 | 166.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $23.12 | -77.1% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $26.55 | -73.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $41.33 | -59.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $11.55 | -88.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CCJ appears overvalued at the current price of $100.96. The base case fair value of $23.12 implies 77.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.