Carnival Corporation & plc
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-37.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
44.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
68.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-7.68 | -126.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $42.18 | 44.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $83.72 | 186.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $21.77 | -25.4% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $52.68 | 80.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $45.52 | 56.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $14.99 | -48.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CCL appears fairly valued at the current price of $29.18. The base case fair value of $42.18 implies 44.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.