Cencosud S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-16.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-13.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
120.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $15869.52 | 605.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $1898.36 | -15.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1843.42 | -18.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $1947.78 | -13.4% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $5918.99 | 163.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $4002.62 | 78.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $1838.43 | -18.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CENCOSUD.SN appears fairly valued at the current price of $2248.00. The base case fair value of $1947.78 implies 13.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.