Ciena Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-93.0% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-90.5% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-83.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $25.87 | -93.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $76.27 | -79.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $49.00 | -87.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $35.99 | -90.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $27.31 | -92.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $117.09 | -69.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $11.27 | -97.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CIEN appears overvalued at the current price of $377.27. The base case fair value of $35.99 implies 90.5% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.