Ciena Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-93.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-91.9% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-85.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $28.10 | -93.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $75.22 | -83.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $51.51 | -88.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $35.99 | -91.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $27.31 | -93.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $117.09 | -73.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $11.45 | -97.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CIEN appears overvalued at the current price of $445.22. The base case fair value of $35.99 implies 91.9% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.