Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
CIENA CORP
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-95.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-87.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-73.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3.22 | -99.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $116.95 | -67.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $80.36 | -77.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $44.01 | -87.8% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $23.58 | -93.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $110.89 | -69.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $7.91 | -97.8% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, CIEN appears overvalued at the current price of $362.06. The base case fair value of $44.01 implies 87.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.