PT Citra Marga Nusaphala Persada Tbk
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-37.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
119.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
126.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-5324.47 | -485.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $3317.72 | 140.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1448.62 | 5.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $3081.16 | 123.3% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $3159.44 | 128.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $275.00 | -80.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $3033.56 | 119.8% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CMNP.JK appears fairly valued at the current price of $1380.00. The base case fair value of $3033.56 implies 119.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.