PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-38.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-17.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
3.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $1543.14 | -64.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $4861.60 | 10.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $7332.72 | 66.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $2260.74 | -48.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $3137.60 | -28.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $3617.89 | -17.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $4215.56 | -4.2% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CMRY.JK appears fairly valued at the current price of $4400.00. The base case fair value of $3617.89 implies 17.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.