Carpenter Technology Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-88.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-76.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-69.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $24.84 | -95.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $183.64 | -67.4% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $543.93 | -3.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $89.64 | -84.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $133.55 | -76.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $162.31 | -71.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $38.89 | -93.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CRS appears overvalued at the current price of $563.60. The base case fair value of $133.55 implies 76.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.