Carpenter Technology Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-77.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-71.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-65.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-50.79 | -110.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $186.05 | -63.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $229.90 | -54.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $102.49 | -79.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $139.84 | -72.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $144.34 | -71.3% | Medium (20%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, CRS appears overvalued at the current price of $503.71. The base case fair value of $142.09 implies 71.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.