Cisco Systems, Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-76.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-72.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-58.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $20.68 | -83.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $75.22 | -38.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $33.69 | -72.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $28.20 | -76.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $38.68 | -68.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $63.46 | -47.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $28.95 | -76.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, CSCO appears overvalued at the current price of $121.83. The base case fair value of $33.69 implies 72.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.