The Walt Disney Company
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-47.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-7.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
5.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-10.41 | -110.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $105.07 | 5.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $469.30 | 369.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $92.62 | -7.4% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $106.10 | 6.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $78.82 | -21.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $26.72 | -73.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, DIS appears fairly valued at the current price of $100.04. The base case fair value of $92.62 implies 7.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.