Ecopetrol S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
443723.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
633591.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
1007329.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $233251.29 | 1303708.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $75953.84 | 424460.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $74752.48 | 417745.0% | Medium (40%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $194640.20 | 1087883.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $136996.19 | 765669.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $89738.64 | 501513.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, EC appears undervalued at the current price of $17.89. The base case fair value of $113367.42 implies 633591.6% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.