Embraer S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-56.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-13.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
108.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $19.41 | -69.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $161.02 | 149.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $385.40 | 497.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $56.02 | -13.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $55.16 | -14.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $11.27 | -82.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, ERJ appears fairly valued at the current price of $64.52. The base case fair value of $55.59 implies 13.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.