FedEx Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-38.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-26.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
10.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $-6.78 | -102.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $359.93 | 10.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $241.47 | -26.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $220.00 | -32.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $431.85 | 32.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $359.75 | 10.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $180.73 | -44.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, FDX appears fairly valued at the current price of $326.20. The base case fair value of $241.47 implies 26.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.