General Dynamics Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-43.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-31.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-19.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $133.88 | -62.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $307.39 | -14.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $245.62 | -31.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $184.29 | -48.8% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $225.90 | -37.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $459.50 | 27.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $275.44 | -23.5% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, GD appears overvalued at the current price of $360.22. The base case fair value of $245.62 implies 31.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.