General Dynamics Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-47.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-37.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-25.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $133.88 | -65.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $307.67 | -20.9% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $245.24 | -37.0% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $184.29 | -52.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $225.90 | -41.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $459.50 | 18.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $275.44 | -29.2% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, GD appears overvalued at the current price of $389.14. The base case fair value of $245.24 implies 37.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.