Alphabet Inc.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-68.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-58.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-47.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $5.01 | -90.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $26.00 | -53.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $976.66 | 1664.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $16.34 | -70.5% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $32.49 | -41.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $23.17 | -58.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $18.74 | -66.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, GOOG.NE appears overvalued at the current price of $55.36. The base case fair value of $23.17 implies 58.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.