Alphabet Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-76.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-65.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-33.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $82.82 | -76.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $323.54 | -9.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $2124.66 | 495.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $123.91 | -65.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $148.53 | -58.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $87.94 | -75.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $77.02 | -78.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, GOOG appears overvalued at the current price of $356.65. The base case fair value of $123.91 implies 65.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.