Alphabet Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-76.9% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-72.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-51.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $33.97 | -91.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $223.18 | -41.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1306.56 | 241.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $100.55 | -73.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $148.53 | -61.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $106.35 | -72.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $76.23 | -80.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, GOOGL appears overvalued at the current price of $382.97. The base case fair value of $106.35 implies 72.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.