Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Alphabet Inc.
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-76.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-65.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-6.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $31.48 | -91.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $519.76 | 46.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $918.98 | 159.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $123.73 | -65.1% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $145.72 | -58.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $84.70 | -76.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $81.92 | -76.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, GOOGL appears overvalued at the current price of $354.31. The base case fair value of $123.73 implies 65.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.