Alphabet Inc.
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$85.99
-71.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$119.92
-60.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$175.15
-41.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $68.55 | -77.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $184.03 | -38.9% | Medium (25%) |
| PEG-Based Value | $322.24 | 7.1% | Low (10%) |
| Graham Number | $91.30 | -69.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $148.53 | -50.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $84.22 | -72.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, GOOGL appears overvalued at the current price of $301.00. The base case fair value of $119.92 implies 60.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.