Holcim Ltd
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-40.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-32.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
14.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $9.61 | -49.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $29.41 | 53.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $35.08 | 82.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $14.47 | -24.7% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $12.71 | -33.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $13.02 | -32.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $10.28 | -46.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, HCMLY appears fairly valued at the current price of $19.20. The base case fair value of $13.02 implies 32.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.