Heidelberg Materials AG
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-24.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-12.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-7.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $38.70 | -9.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $36.81 | -14.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $30.75 | -28.4% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $47.75 | 11.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $40.22 | -6.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $27.40 | -36.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, HDLMY appears overvalued at the current price of $42.92. The base case fair value of $37.76 implies 12.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.