HEICO Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-84.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-76.4% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-67.5% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $31.54 | -91.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $108.35 | -70.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $154.23 | -58.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $62.46 | -83.2% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $87.70 | -76.4% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $133.19 | -64.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $55.40 | -85.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, HEI appears overvalued at the current price of $371.28. The base case fair value of $87.70 implies 76.4% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.