Hillman Solutions Corp.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-73.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-38.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-33.4% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $0.37 | -95.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $4.26 | -51.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $5.45 | -38.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $5.55 | -37.1% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $12.87 | 45.9% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $6.19 | -29.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $-0.81 | -109.2% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, HLMN appears overvalued at the current price of $8.82. The base case fair value of $5.45 implies 38.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.