International Business Machines Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-7.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
32.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
44.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $312.66 | 44.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $287.28 | 32.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1184.69 | 447.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $94.36 | -56.4% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $185.39 | -14.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $312.86 | 44.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $215.90 | -0.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, IBM appears fairly valued at the current price of $216.28. The base case fair value of $287.28 implies 32.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.