International Business Machines Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-45.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-21.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
2.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $114.48 | -58.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $283.58 | 3.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $1201.41 | 337.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $94.40 | -65.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $185.39 | -32.5% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $280.75 | 2.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $217.04 | -21.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, IBM appears fairly valued at the current price of $274.85. The base case fair value of $217.04 implies 21.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.