Lam Research Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-87.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-83.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-62.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $16.05 | -94.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $134.74 | -53.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $116.84 | -59.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $30.24 | -89.6% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $49.33 | -83.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $100.32 | -65.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $40.94 | -86.0% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, LRCX appears overvalued at the current price of $291.61. The base case fair value of $49.33 implies 83.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.