LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-29.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
17.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
65.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $142.39 | 17.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $175.66 | 45.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $249.70 | 106.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $75.63 | -37.4% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $94.18 | -22.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $225.46 | 86.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $57.77 | -52.2% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, LVMUY appears fairly valued at the current price of $120.86. The base case fair value of $142.39 implies 17.8% upside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.