LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-36.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-14.0% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
83.8% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $66.68 | -39.1% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $165.45 | 51.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $241.73 | 120.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $73.34 | -33.0% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $94.18 | -14.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $237.11 | 116.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $55.70 | -49.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, LVMUY appears fairly valued at the current price of $109.54. The base case fair value of $94.18 implies 14.0% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.