Mesabi Trust
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-71.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-46.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
5533213.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $3.93 | -83.6% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $15.23 | -36.3% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $5.49 | -77.1% | Medium (30%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $10.57 | -55.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $21958133.34 | 91759755.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $1765490.90 | 7377630.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, MSB appears fairly valued at the current price of $23.93. The base case fair value of $12.90 implies 46.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.