Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
MICROSOFT CORP
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-70.4% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-68.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-32.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $82.14 | -84.8% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $468.59 | -13.6% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $777.52 | 43.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $155.08 | -71.4% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $264.82 | -51.1% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $165.82 | -69.4% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $172.06 | -68.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 7 methods, MSFT appears overvalued at the current price of $542.04. The base case fair value of $172.06 implies 68.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.