Microsoft Corporation
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$133.42
-65.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$181.18
-52.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$277.83
-27.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $28.87 | -92.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $392.18 | 2.7% | Medium (25%) |
| PEG-Based Value | $298.61 | -21.8% | Low (10%) |
| Graham Number | $128.94 | -66.2% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $215.48 | -43.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $146.88 | -61.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, MSFT appears overvalued at the current price of $381.85. The base case fair value of $181.18 implies 52.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.