Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from SEC filings.
MICROSOFT CORP
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-68.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-65.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-23.2% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $30.50 | -94.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $457.32 | -9.5% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $742.15 | 46.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $155.08 | -69.3% | Low (10%) |
| EV/FCF | $180.34 | -64.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $172.06 | -65.9% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, MSFT appears overvalued at the current price of $505.06. The base case fair value of $176.20 implies 65.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.
