Netflix, Inc.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-73.3% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-48.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-26.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $13.03 | -81.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $51.60 | -26.7% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $21.22 | -69.9% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $71.54 | 1.6% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $51.99 | -26.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $18.04 | -74.4% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 8 methods, NFLX appears overvalued at the current price of $70.40. The base case fair value of $36.41 implies 48.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.