Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
Prices and market caps: Cboe delayed data, at least 15 minutes delayed. Not real-time. Fundamentals from company filings.
NETFLIX INC
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-62.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-32.8% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-14.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $89.88 | 16.3% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $52.70 | -31.8% | Medium (25%) |
| Graham Number | $21.32 | -72.4% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $70.92 | -8.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $51.19 | -33.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $18.28 | -76.3% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, NFLX appears overvalued at the current price of $77.30. The base case fair value of $51.95 implies 32.8% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.