Northrop Grumman Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-38.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-16.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
1.7% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $113.56 | -79.4% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $617.67 | 12.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $392.46 | -28.7% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $289.02 | -47.5% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $502.09 | -8.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $460.63 | -16.3% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $911.32 | 65.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NOC appears fairly valued at the current price of $550.33. The base case fair value of $460.63 implies 16.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.