Northrop Grumman Corporation
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-38.5% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-8.3% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
2.0% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $153.51 | -72.0% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $609.16 | 11.2% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $386.13 | -29.5% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $286.88 | -47.6% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $502.09 | -8.3% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $508.15 | -7.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $894.33 | 63.3% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NOC appears fairly valued at the current price of $547.58. The base case fair value of $502.09 implies 8.3% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.