Nestlé S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-25.8% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-15.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
59.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $206.26 | 110.9% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $140.91 | 44.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $75.53 | -22.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $47.01 | -51.9% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $69.60 | -28.8% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $171.73 | 75.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $83.01 | -15.1% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NSRGF appears fairly valued at the current price of $97.79. The base case fair value of $83.01 implies 15.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.