Nestlé S.A.
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-31.1% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-16.6% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
47.6% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $312.94 | 214.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $126.44 | 27.1% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $67.50 | -32.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $44.44 | -55.3% | High (80%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $69.60 | -30.0% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $167.27 | 68.1% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $83.01 | -16.6% | High (70%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NSRGF appears fairly valued at the current price of $99.50. The base case fair value of $83.01 implies 16.6% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.