NVIDIA Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-89.6% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-78.7% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-51.9% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $4.06 | -91.2% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $28.08 | -39.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $52.28 | 13.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $5.19 | -88.7% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $9.81 | -78.7% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $16.16 | -64.9% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $4.36 | -90.5% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NVDA.NE appears overvalued at the current price of $46.03. The base case fair value of $9.81 implies 78.7% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.