NVIDIA Corporation
High uncertainty: The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
$19.53
-88.7% vs price
Base Case (Median)
$43.09
-75.1% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
$105.00
-39.3% vs price
◇ = Current price | | Bear | Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $12.65 | -92.7% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $120.18 | -30.5% | Medium (25%) |
| PEG-Based Value | $459.97 | 166.0% | Low (10%) |
| Graham Number | $26.71 | -84.6% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $59.48 | -65.6% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $17.13 | -90.1% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 6 out of 7 methods, NVDA appears overvalued at the current price of $172.93. The base case fair value of $43.09 implies 75.1% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.