NVIDIA Corporation
High uncertainty:The valuation methods show significant disagreement (>100% spread). Treat the range as a rough guide rather than a precise estimate.
Bear Case (25th pct.)
-87.2% vs price
Base Case (Median)
-69.2% vs price
Bull Case (75th pct.)
-32.1% vs price
◇ = Current price | |Bear |Base | Bull
| Method | Est. Value | vs Price | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) | $18.33 | -90.5% | High (40%) |
| PE Comparable | $163.73 | -15.0% | Medium (25%) |
| Growth Trajectory DCF | $627.23 | 225.8% | Medium (20%) |
| Graham Number | $30.80 | -84.0% | Low (10%) |
| EV/EBITDA | $59.34 | -69.2% | Medium (20%) |
| EV/FCF | $97.77 | -49.2% | Medium (20%) |
| Earnings Power Value | $18.13 | -90.6% | Medium (50%) |
Based on 7 out of 8 methods, NVDA appears overvalued at the current price of $192.53. The base case fair value of $59.34 implies 69.2% downside.
Bear/base/bull cases represent the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentile of available method estimates. This is not financial advice. Valuation is inherently uncertain.